SAR Fundamentals/Search probability - Revision history

Brett Wuth: /* Aids */

Brett Wuth — Mon, 02 Apr 2018 01:28:50 GMT

Aids

←Older revision		Revision as of 01:28, 2 April 2018
Line 153:		Line 153:
	* suitable markers		* suitable markers
	* {{link\|Image:Members:2013-02-27 19 37 09u-scan.pdf}}		* {{link\|Image:Members:2013-02-27 19 37 09u-scan.pdf}}
		+	* [[Training/Ideas/Search probability theory]]

	== Question bank ==		== Question bank ==

Brett Wuth: /* Time Plan */

Brett Wuth — Fri, 18 Nov 2016 21:58:41 GMT

Time Plan

←Older revision		Revision as of 21:58, 18 November 2016
Line 26:		Line 26:
	* 2011-03 19:00-19:35: 35 min		* 2011-03 19:00-19:35: 35 min
	* 2013-02: 25 min		* 2013-02: 25 min
-
-	* [[:Image:Search-probability-lesson-plan.odt]]

	{{lesson slides start}}		{{lesson slides start}}

Brett Wuth: /* Time Plan */

Brett Wuth — Thu, 28 Feb 2013 22:00:31 GMT

Time Plan

←Older revision		Revision as of 22:00, 28 February 2013
Line 24:		Line 24:
	== Time Plan ==		== Time Plan ==
	Total Time: 45 minutes		Total Time: 45 minutes
-	* 2011-03 19:00-19:35: ~~0.6 hr~~	+	* 2011-03 19:00-19:35: 35 min
		+	* 2013-02: 25 min

	* [[:Image:Search-probability-lesson-plan.odt]]		* [[:Image:Search-probability-lesson-plan.odt]]

Brett Wuth: /* Time Plan */

Brett Wuth — Thu, 28 Feb 2013 20:10:17 GMT

Time Plan

←Older revision		Revision as of 20:10, 28 February 2013
Line 29:		Line 29:

	{{lesson slides start}}		{{lesson slides start}}
-	{{lesson slide\|00:00\|3 min}}	+	{{lesson slide\|00:00\|1 min}}
	Introduce topic title		Introduce topic title

Line 35:		Line 35:

	Present Objectives		Present Objectives
-	{{lesson slide\|00:03\|}}	+	{{lesson slide\|00:01\|1 min}}

	* Describe what a Search Area is		* Describe what a Search Area is
Line 43:		Line 43:
	** can be some other area completely		** can be some other area completely

-	{{lesson slide\|\|}}	+	{{lesson slide\|\|3 min}}
	'''Methods to establish Search Area''' [2]		'''Methods to establish Search Area''' [2]

Line 65:		Line 65:
	** deductive reasoning [2]		** deductive reasoning [2]

-	{{lesson slide\|\|}}	+	{{lesson slide\|\|1 min}}
	'''Confinement''' [2]		'''Confinement''' [2]
	* requires prompt action [2]		* requires prompt action [2]
Line 76:		Line 76:
	** track traps [2]		** track traps [2]

-	{{lesson slide\|\|}}	+	{{lesson slide\|\|1 min}}
	'''Attraction''' [2]		'''Attraction''' [2]
	* visual: lights, flares, fires, smoke, balloons [2]		* visual: lights, flares, fires, smoke, balloons [2]
Line 82:		Line 82:
	* aircraft [2]		* aircraft [2]

-	{{lesson slide\|\|}}	+	{{lesson slide\|\|5 min}}
	'''Segmentation''' [2]		'''Segmentation''' [2]
	* size		* size
Line 105:		Line 105:
	** Use in court. ( need documentation) [1]		** Use in court. ( need documentation) [1]

-	{{lesson slide\|\|}}	+	{{lesson slide\|\|2 min}}
	'''Effects on POD''' [1]		'''Effects on POD''' [1]
	* Searcher prejudice- thoughts of search, subject isn't here!! [1]		* Searcher prejudice- thoughts of search, subject isn't here!! [1]

Brett Wuth: /* Aids */

Brett Wuth — Thu, 28 Feb 2013 19:50:21 GMT

Aids

←Older revision		Revision as of 19:50, 28 February 2013
Line 153:		Line 153:
	* flip chart or white board		* flip chart or white board
	* suitable markers		* suitable markers
		+	* {{link\|Image:Members:2013-02-27 19 37 09u-scan.pdf}}

	== Question bank ==		== Question bank ==

Brett Wuth: /* Time Plan */

Brett Wuth — Sat, 23 Feb 2013 12:52:54 GMT

Time Plan

←Older revision		Revision as of 12:52, 23 February 2013
Line 38:		Line 38:

	* Describe what a Search Area is		* Describe what a Search Area is
-	* ~~Describe~~ ROW	+	* Rest of World - ROW
		+	** can be just outside search area
		+	** can be back home, at bar
		+	** can be some other area completely

	{{lesson slide\|\|}}		{{lesson slide\|\|}}
-	* Methods to establish Search Area [2]	+	'''Methods to establish Search Area''' [2]
-	** LKP~~, PLS, IPP.~~	+
-	** Theoretical Search Area [2]	+	Start with Initial Planning Point (IPP)
-	*** distance subject could have travelled from LKP. [2]	+
-	*** statistical search area [2]	+	Typically one of two places:
-	*** subjective search area [2]	+	* Point Last Seen (PLS)
-	**** likely spots [2]	+	* Last Known Point (LKP)
-	**** natural barriers [2]	+	** e.g. strong belief was there - location of car
-	**** physical or mental limits of subject [2]	+
-	**** physical clues [2]	+	Theoretical Search Area [2]
-	**** historical data [2]	+	* distance subject could have travelled from LKP. [2]
-	**** gut feeling [2]	+	* statistical search area [2]
-	**** deductive reasoning [2]	+	* subjective search area [2]
		+	** likely spots [2]
		+	** natural barriers [2]
		+	** physical or mental limits of subject [2]
		+	** physical clues [2]
		+	** historical data [2]
		+	** gut feeling [2]
		+	** deductive reasoning [2]

	{{lesson slide\|\|}}		{{lesson slide\|\|}}
-	* Confinement [2]	+	'''Confinement''' [2]
-	** requires prompt action [2]	+	* requires prompt action [2]
-	** tactics [2]	+	* tactics [2]
-	*** vehicle patrols [2]	+	** vehicle patrols [2]
-	*** road blocks [2]	+	** road blocks [2]
-	*** trail blocks [2]	+	** trail blocks [2]
-	*** observation posts [2]	+	** observation posts [2]
-	*** string lines [2]	+	** string lines [2]
-	*** track traps [2]	+	** track traps [2]

	{{lesson slide\|\|}}		{{lesson slide\|\|}}
-	* Attraction [2]	+	'''Attraction''' [2]
-	** visual: lights, flares, fires, smoke, balloons [2]	+	* visual: lights, flares, fires, smoke, balloons [2]
-	** sound: horns, PA system, shouting [2]	+	* sound: horns, PA system, shouting [2]
-	** aircraft [2]	+	* aircraft [2]

	{{lesson slide\|\|}}		{{lesson slide\|\|}}
-	* Segmentation [2]	+	'''Segmentation''' [2]
-	** size	+	* size
-	** boundaries	+	** searchable area in reasonable time
		+	* boundaries
		+	** challenge of picking boundaries on map
		+	** risks of team in adjacent segments leaving a gap
		+	** may have to flag

	{{lesson slide\|\|}}		{{lesson slide\|\|}}
Line 82:		Line 96:
	* POS- probability of success, of finding the subject. [1]		* POS- probability of success, of finding the subject. [1]
	* POS= POA X POD [1]		* POS= POA X POD [1]
		+
	* Understanding and using this formula helps mgmt., to understand how effective they have been or will be. [1]		* Understanding and using this formula helps mgmt., to understand how effective they have been or will be. [1]
	* This helps mgmt., to [1]		* This helps mgmt., to [1]
Line 91:		Line 106:

	{{lesson slide\|\|}}		{{lesson slide\|\|}}
-	* Effects on POD [1]	+	'''Effects on POD''' [1]
-	** Searcher prejudice- thoughts of search, subject isn't here!! [1]	+	* Searcher prejudice- thoughts of search, subject isn't here!! [1]
-	** Searcher fatigue [1]	+	* Searcher fatigue [1]
-	** Boredom [1]	+	* Boredom [1]
-	** Weather on visibility/comfort [1]	+	* Weather on visibility/comfort [1]
-	** Terrain [1]	+	* Terrain [1]
-	** Anything that affects your senses [1]	+	* Anything that affects your senses [1]
-	* POD Influences [1]	+
-	** Time [1]	+	POD Influences [1]
-	** POD desired or accepted [1]	+	* Time [1]
-	** Time searcher is available [1]	+	* POD desired or accepted [1]
-	** Size of the segment [1]	+	* Time searcher is available [1]
-	** Type and effectiveness of resources [1]	+	* Size of the segment [1]
-	** Search method [1]	+	* Type and effectiveness of resources [1]
-	* SAR manager may take these into consideration and adjust the expected/given POD. [1]	+	* Search method [1]
		+
		+	Critical Spacing or Separation [1]
		+	* The distance from one searcher to another on a grid line. [1]
		+	* Figure that will change with terrain. [1]
		+
		+
		+	SAR manager may take these into consideration and adjust the expected/given POD. [1]
		+

	{{lesson slide\|\|}}		{{lesson slide\|\|}}
-	* POA [1]	+	'''POA''' [1]
-	** Probability of area. [1]	+	* Probability of area. [1]
-	** Could the subject be in that area~~. [1]~~	+	* Could the subject be in that area. [1]
-	* Critical Spacing or Separation [1]	+
-	** The distance from one searcher to another on a grid line. [1]	+
-	** Figure that will change with terrain. [1]	+

	{{lesson slide\|\|}}		{{lesson slide\|\|}}
-	Example	+	'''Example'''
	* Koopmans Search		* Koopmans Search
	* some areas searched 7 times		* some areas searched 7 times

Brett Wuth at 12:40, 23 February 2013

Brett Wuth — Sat, 23 Feb 2013 12:40:10 GMT

←Older revision		Revision as of 12:40, 23 February 2013
Line 9:		Line 9:
	== Scope ==		== Scope ==
	{{prompt\|What is included in this lesson, what's not and why.}}		{{prompt\|What is included in this lesson, what's not and why.}}
-	: SAR Fundamentals Manual: Ch.22 "Search Probability Theory"	+	: SAR Fundamentals Manual: Ch.22 "Search Probability Theory", p.293
	: Basic SAR Skills Manual:		: Basic SAR Skills Manual:
	:* Ch.12 "Search Management Crucials"		:* Ch.12 "Search Management Crucials"
Line 36:		Line 36:
	Present Objectives		Present Objectives
	{{lesson slide\|00:03\|}}		{{lesson slide\|00:03\|}}
-	~~instructional points in normal font~~

-	~~''aids, exercises, activities in italic''~~
-	~~{{lesson slides end}}~~
-
-	~~== Aids ==~~
-	~~{{prompt\|What materials are needed or useful in presenting this lesson.}}~~
-	* [[/Restricted\|Non-publishable material]]
-	* flip chart or white board
-	* suitable markers
-
-	~~== Question bank ==~~
-	~~{{prompt\|List of questions suitable for an review/exam of this section.}}~~
-	~~See {{subpage\|Question bank}}~~
-
-	~~== Frequently Asked Questions ==~~
-	~~{{prompt\|What are some of the questions that students typically ask. Include the answers.}}~~
-
-	~~== Feedback ==~~
-	~~{{prompt\|When has this lesson been presented. What was the feedback.}}~~
-	* 2004-09-07 Wuth presentation at PCSAR regular meeting
-
-	~~== License ==~~
-	~~{{prompt\|What can others do with this lesson?}}~~
-
-	~~Portions copyright © 2003, Jake Waiboer.~~
-
-	~~Portions copyright © 2005, 2013 Brett Wuth.~~
-
-	~~This work is licensed under a~~
-	~~Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 2.5 Canada License.~~
-	~~To view a copy of this license, visit~~
-	~~http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/2.5/ca/~~
-	~~or send a letter to Creative Commons, 559 Nathan Abbott Way, Stanford, California 94305, USA.~~
-
-	~~== Reference Material ==~~
-	~~{{prompt\|If you need to cite sources, do so here.}}~~
-
-	~~[1] some material from Jake Waiboer developed for this section, provided personally.~~
-
-	~~[2] SAR Skills Handbook: FOG SAR, Field Operating Guide To Search and Rescue, Richard Smith et al., (c) ERI Canada et al., 2003, first edition, ISBN 0-9734135-0-6, Chapter 13~~
-
-	~~== Notes ==~~
-	~~{{prompt\|Any additional notes, etc.}}~~
-
-	* [From Jake's outline]
-	* Chapter outlines
-	* Chapter 22
-	* Search Probability Theory p.293
	* Describe what a Search Area is		* Describe what a Search Area is
	* Describe ROW		* Describe ROW
		+
		+	{{lesson slide\|\|}}
	* Methods to establish Search Area [2]		* Methods to establish Search Area [2]
	** LKP, PLS, IPP.		** LKP, PLS, IPP.
Line 100:		Line 54:
	**** gut feeling [2]		**** gut feeling [2]
	**** deductive reasoning [2]		**** deductive reasoning [2]
		+
		+	{{lesson slide\|\|}}
	* Confinement [2]		* Confinement [2]
	** requires prompt action [2]		** requires prompt action [2]
Line 109:		Line 65:
	*** string lines [2]		*** string lines [2]
	*** track traps [2]		*** track traps [2]
		+
		+	{{lesson slide\|\|}}
	* Attraction [2]		* Attraction [2]
	** visual: lights, flares, fires, smoke, balloons [2]		** visual: lights, flares, fires, smoke, balloons [2]
	** sound: horns, PA system, shouting [2]		** sound: horns, PA system, shouting [2]
	** aircraft [2]		** aircraft [2]
		+
		+	{{lesson slide\|\|}}
	* Segmentation [2]		* Segmentation [2]
	** size		** size
	** boundaries		** boundaries
		+
		+	{{lesson slide\|\|}}
	* POA- probability of area, to find the subject [1]		* POA- probability of area, to find the subject [1]
	* POD- probability of detection, of the subject [1]		* POD- probability of detection, of the subject [1]
	* POS- probability of success, of finding the subject. [1]		* POS- probability of success, of finding the subject. [1]
	* POS= POA X POD [1]		* POS= POA X POD [1]
-	* Understanding and using this formula helps mgmt., to understand how	+	* Understanding and using this formula helps mgmt., to understand how effective they have been or will be. [1]
-	* effective they have been or will be. [1]	+
	* This helps mgmt., to [1]		* This helps mgmt., to [1]
	** Distribute resources [1]		** Distribute resources [1]
Line 128:		Line 89:
	** Suspend a search. [1]		** Suspend a search. [1]
	** Use in court. ( need documentation) [1]		** Use in court. ( need documentation) [1]
		+
		+	{{lesson slide\|\|}}
	* Effects on POD [1]		* Effects on POD [1]
	** Searcher prejudice- thoughts of search, subject isn't here!! [1]		** Searcher prejudice- thoughts of search, subject isn't here!! [1]
Line 143:		Line 106:
	** Search method [1]		** Search method [1]
	* SAR manager may take these into consideration and adjust the expected/given POD. [1]		* SAR manager may take these into consideration and adjust the expected/given POD. [1]
		+
		+	{{lesson slide\|\|}}
	* POA [1]		* POA [1]
	** Probability of area. [1]		** Probability of area. [1]
Line 149:		Line 114:
	** The distance from one searcher to another on a grid line. [1]		** The distance from one searcher to another on a grid line. [1]
	** Figure that will change with terrain. [1]		** Figure that will change with terrain. [1]
-	* How to set it up [1]
-	** Placing an object ( the approx., size of the subject) on the ground. [1]
-	** Two searchers walk away until the last step of not seeing it. [1]
-	** This change with terrain/visibility. [1]
-	** Will be discussed in greater detail later. [1]
-	* Practice POD [1]
-	* Show the " old wives tales overhead". [1]

		+	{{lesson slide\|\|}}
		+	Example
	* Koopmans Search		* Koopmans Search
	* some areas searched 7 times		* some areas searched 7 times
		+
		+	{{lesson slide\|\|}}
	* Keeping variables independant		* Keeping variables independant
	* Novice searcher will estimate POD as 100%		* Novice searcher will estimate POD as 100%
	* Estimate portion of areas searched separately		* Estimate portion of areas searched separately
	* Which is better? Thorough over long time? Rapid several times? Why?		* Which is better? Thorough over long time? Rapid several times? Why?
		+
		+	{{lesson slides end}}
		+
		+	== Aids ==
		+	{{prompt\|What materials are needed or useful in presenting this lesson.}}
		+	* [[/Restricted\|Non-publishable material]]
		+	* flip chart or white board
		+	* suitable markers
		+
		+	== Question bank ==
		+	{{prompt\|List of questions suitable for an review/exam of this section.}}
		+	See {{subpage\|Question bank}}
		+
		+	== Frequently Asked Questions ==
		+	{{prompt\|What are some of the questions that students typically ask. Include the answers.}}
		+
		+	== Feedback ==
		+	{{prompt\|When has this lesson been presented. What was the feedback.}}
		+	* 2004-09-07 Wuth presentation at PCSAR regular meeting
		+
		+	== License ==
		+	{{prompt\|What can others do with this lesson?}}
		+
		+	Portions copyright © 2003, Jake Waiboer.
		+
		+	Portions copyright © 2005, 2013 Brett Wuth.
		+
		+	This work is licensed under a
		+	Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 2.5 Canada License.
		+	To view a copy of this license, visit
		+	http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/2.5/ca/
		+	or send a letter to Creative Commons, 559 Nathan Abbott Way, Stanford, California 94305, USA.
		+
		+	== Reference Material ==
		+	{{prompt\|If you need to cite sources, do so here.}}
		+
		+	[1] some material from Jake Waiboer developed for this section, provided personally.
		+
		+	[2] SAR Skills Handbook: FOG SAR, Field Operating Guide To Search and Rescue, Richard Smith et al., (c) ERI Canada et al., 2003, first edition, ISBN 0-9734135-0-6, Chapter 13
		+
		+	== Notes ==
		+	{{prompt\|Any additional notes, etc.}}

Brett Wuth: /* License */

Brett Wuth — Sat, 23 Feb 2013 12:34:32 GMT

License

←Older revision		Revision as of 12:34, 23 February 2013
Line 61:		Line 61:
	{{prompt\|What can others do with this lesson?}}		{{prompt\|What can others do with this lesson?}}

-	~~Original content~~ copyright © 2003, Jake Waiboer.	+	Portions copyright © 2003, Jake Waiboer.

-	~~Original content~~ copyright © 2005, Brett Wuth.	+	Portions copyright © 2005, 2013 Brett Wuth.

	This work is licensed under a		This work is licensed under a

Brett Wuth at 12:32, 23 February 2013

Brett Wuth — Sat, 23 Feb 2013 12:32:57 GMT

←Older revision		Revision as of 12:32, 23 February 2013
Line 56:		Line 56:
	== Feedback ==		== Feedback ==
	{{prompt\|When has this lesson been presented. What was the feedback.}}		{{prompt\|When has this lesson been presented. What was the feedback.}}
		+	* 2004-09-07 Wuth presentation at PCSAR regular meeting

	== License ==		== License ==
	{{prompt\|What can others do with this lesson?}}		{{prompt\|What can others do with this lesson?}}

-	~~Recommended license below~~. ~~Fill in the year and the author's name(s):~~	+	Original content copyright © 2003, Jake Waiboer.
		+
		+	Original content copyright © 2005, Brett Wuth.

-	~~Copyright © YEAR, Author.~~
	This work is licensed under a		This work is licensed under a
	Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 2.5 Canada License.		Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 2.5 Canada License.
Line 72:		Line 74:
	{{prompt\|If you need to cite sources, do so here.}}		{{prompt\|If you need to cite sources, do so here.}}

-	[1]	+	[1] some material from Jake Waiboer developed for this section, provided personally.
		+
		+	[2] SAR Skills Handbook: FOG SAR, Field Operating Guide To Search and Rescue, Richard Smith et al., (c) ERI Canada et al., 2003, first edition, ISBN 0-9734135-0-6, Chapter 13

	== Notes ==		== Notes ==
	{{prompt\|Any additional notes, etc.}}		{{prompt\|Any additional notes, etc.}}
		+
		+	* [From Jake's outline]
		+	* Chapter outlines
		+	* Chapter 22
		+	* Search Probability Theory p.293
		+	* Describe what a Search Area is
		+	* Describe ROW
		+	* Methods to establish Search Area [2]
		+	** LKP, PLS, IPP.
		+	** Theoretical Search Area [2]
		+	*** distance subject could have travelled from LKP. [2]
		+	*** statistical search area [2]
		+	*** subjective search area [2]
		+	**** likely spots [2]
		+	**** natural barriers [2]
		+	**** physical or mental limits of subject [2]
		+	**** physical clues [2]
		+	**** historical data [2]
		+	**** gut feeling [2]
		+	**** deductive reasoning [2]
		+	* Confinement [2]
		+	** requires prompt action [2]
		+	** tactics [2]
		+	*** vehicle patrols [2]
		+	*** road blocks [2]
		+	*** trail blocks [2]
		+	*** observation posts [2]
		+	*** string lines [2]
		+	*** track traps [2]
		+	* Attraction [2]
		+	** visual: lights, flares, fires, smoke, balloons [2]
		+	** sound: horns, PA system, shouting [2]
		+	** aircraft [2]
		+	* Segmentation [2]
		+	** size
		+	** boundaries
		+	* POA- probability of area, to find the subject [1]
		+	* POD- probability of detection, of the subject [1]
		+	* POS- probability of success, of finding the subject. [1]
		+	* POS= POA X POD [1]
		+	* Understanding and using this formula helps mgmt., to understand how
		+	* effective they have been or will be. [1]
		+	* This helps mgmt., to [1]
		+	** Distribute resources [1]
		+	** Decide on which areas to search/research. [1]
		+	** How to treat a segment. [1]
		+	** Suspend a search. [1]
		+	** Use in court. ( need documentation) [1]
		+	* Effects on POD [1]
		+	** Searcher prejudice- thoughts of search, subject isn't here!! [1]
		+	** Searcher fatigue [1]
		+	** Boredom [1]
		+	** Weather on visibility/comfort [1]
		+	** Terrain [1]
		+	** Anything that affects your senses [1]
		+	* POD Influences [1]
		+	** Time [1]
		+	** POD desired or accepted [1]
		+	** Time searcher is available [1]
		+	** Size of the segment [1]
		+	** Type and effectiveness of resources [1]
		+	** Search method [1]
		+	* SAR manager may take these into consideration and adjust the expected/given POD. [1]
		+	* POA [1]
		+	** Probability of area. [1]
		+	** Could the subject be in that area. [1]
		+	* Critical Spacing or Separation [1]
		+	** The distance from one searcher to another on a grid line. [1]
		+	** Figure that will change with terrain. [1]
		+	* How to set it up [1]
		+	** Placing an object ( the approx., size of the subject) on the ground. [1]
		+	** Two searchers walk away until the last step of not seeing it. [1]
		+	** This change with terrain/visibility. [1]
		+	** Will be discussed in greater detail later. [1]
		+	* Practice POD [1]
		+	* Show the " old wives tales overhead". [1]
		+
		+	* Koopmans Search
		+	* some areas searched 7 times
		+	* Keeping variables independant
		+	* Novice searcher will estimate POD as 100%
		+	* Estimate portion of areas searched separately
		+	* Which is better? Thorough over long time? Rapid several times? Why?

Brett Wuth at 10:00, 23 February 2013

Brett Wuth — Sat, 23 Feb 2013 10:00:36 GMT

←Older revision		Revision as of 10:00, 23 February 2013
Line 1:		Line 1:
-	~~== Material covered ==~~
-	~~: SAR Fundamentals Manual: Ch.22 "Search Probability Theory"~~
-	~~: Basic SAR Skills Manual:~~
-	~~:* Ch.12 "Search Management Crucials"~~
-	~~:* Ch.13 "Search Area/Confinement"~~
-	~~: Search Area / Confinement~~
-	~~== Duration ==~~
-	~~0.75hr~~
-	* 2011-03 19:00-19:35: 0.6 hr
-
-	~~== Lesson plan ==~~
-	* [[:Image:Search-probability-lesson-plan.odt]]
-	~~== Aids ==~~
-	* [[/Restricted\|Non-publishable material]]
-	* flip chart or white board
-	* suitable markers
-	~~== Question bank ==~~
-	~~See {{subpage\|Question bank}}~~
-
	{{Lesson plan/Header}}		{{Lesson plan/Header}}

Line 28:		Line 9:
	== Scope ==		== Scope ==
	{{prompt\|What is included in this lesson, what's not and why.}}		{{prompt\|What is included in this lesson, what's not and why.}}
		+	: SAR Fundamentals Manual: Ch.22 "Search Probability Theory"
		+	: Basic SAR Skills Manual:
		+	:* Ch.12 "Search Management Crucials"
		+	:* Ch.13 "Search Area/Confinement"
		+	: Search Area / Confinement

	== Prerequisites ==		== Prerequisites ==
Line 37:		Line 23:

	== Time Plan ==		== Time Plan ==
-	Total Time: ?? minutes	+	Total Time: 45 minutes
		+	* 2011-03 19:00-19:35: 0.6 hr
		+
		+	* [[:Image:Search-probability-lesson-plan.odt]]

	{{lesson slides start}}		{{lesson slides start}}
Line 54:		Line 43:
	== Aids ==		== Aids ==
	{{prompt\|What materials are needed or useful in presenting this lesson.}}		{{prompt\|What materials are needed or useful in presenting this lesson.}}
		+	* [[/Restricted\|Non-publishable material]]
		+	* flip chart or white board
		+	* suitable markers

	== Question bank ==		== Question bank ==