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| + | == Material covered == |
| + | : SAR Fundamentals Manual: Ch.22 "Search Probability Theory" |
| + | : Basic SAR Skills Manual: |
| + | :* Ch.12 "Search Management Crucials" |
| + | :* Ch.13 "Search Area/Confinement" |
| + | : Search Area / Confinement |
| + | == Duration == |
| + | 0.75hr |
| + | * 2011-03 19:00-19:35: 0.6 hr |
| + | |
| + | == Lesson plan == |
| + | * [[:Image:Search-probability-lesson-plan.odt]] |
| + | == Aids == |
| + | * [[/Restricted|Non-publishable material]] |
| + | * flip chart or white board |
| + | * suitable markers |
| + | == Question bank == |
| + | See {{subpage|Question bank}} |
| + | |
| {{Lesson plan/Header}} | | {{Lesson plan/Header}} |
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| == Scope == | | == Scope == |
| {{prompt|What is included in this lesson, what's not and why.}} | | {{prompt|What is included in this lesson, what's not and why.}} |
- | : SAR Fundamentals Manual: Ch.22 "Search Probability Theory", p.293
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- | : Basic SAR Skills Manual:
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- | :* Ch.12 "Search Management Crucials"
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- | :* Ch.13 "Search Area/Confinement"
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- | : Search Area / Confinement
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| | | |
| == Prerequisites == | | == Prerequisites == |
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| == Time Plan == | | == Time Plan == |
- | Total Time: 45 minutes | + | Total Time: ?? minutes |
- | * 2011-03 19:00-19:35: 35 min
| + | |
- | * 2013-02: 25 min
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| {{lesson slides start}} | | {{lesson slides start}} |
- | {{lesson slide|00:00|1 min}} | + | {{lesson slide|00:00|3 min}} |
| Introduce topic title | | Introduce topic title |
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| Present Objectives | | Present Objectives |
- | {{lesson slide|00:01|1 min}} | + | {{lesson slide|00:03|}} |
- | | + | instructional points in normal font |
- | * Describe what a Search Area is
| + | |
- | * Rest of World - ROW
| + | |
- | ** can be just outside search area
| + | |
- | ** can be back home, at bar
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- | ** can be some other area completely
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- | | + | |
- | {{lesson slide||3 min}}
| + | |
- | '''Methods to establish Search Area''' [2]
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- | | + | |
- | Start with Initial Planning Point (IPP)
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- | | + | |
- | Typically one of two places:
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- | * Point Last Seen (PLS)
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- | * Last Known Point (LKP)
| + | |
- | ** e.g. strong belief was there - location of car
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- | | + | |
- | Theoretical Search Area [2]
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- | * distance subject could have travelled from LKP. [2]
| + | |
- | * statistical search area [2]
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- | * subjective search area [2]
| + | |
- | ** likely spots [2]
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- | ** natural barriers [2]
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- | ** physical or mental limits of subject [2]
| + | |
- | ** physical clues [2]
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- | ** historical data [2]
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- | ** gut feeling [2]
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- | ** deductive reasoning [2]
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- | | + | |
- | {{lesson slide||1 min}}
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- | '''Confinement''' [2]
| + | |
- | * requires prompt action [2]
| + | |
- | * tactics [2]
| + | |
- | ** vehicle patrols [2]
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- | ** road blocks [2]
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- | ** trail blocks [2]
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- | ** observation posts [2]
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- | ** string lines [2]
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- | ** track traps [2]
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- | | + | |
- | {{lesson slide||1 min}}
| + | |
- | '''Attraction''' [2]
| + | |
- | * visual: lights, flares, fires, smoke, balloons [2]
| + | |
- | * sound: horns, PA system, shouting [2]
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- | * aircraft [2]
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- | | + | |
- | {{lesson slide||5 min}}
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- | '''Segmentation''' [2]
| + | |
- | * size
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- | ** searchable area in reasonable time
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- | * boundaries
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- | ** challenge of picking boundaries on map
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- | ** risks of team in adjacent segments leaving a gap
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- | ** may have to flag
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- | | + | |
- | {{lesson slide||}}
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- | * POA- probability of area, to find the subject [1]
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- | * POD- probability of detection, of the subject [1]
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- | * POS- probability of success, of finding the subject. [1]
| + | |
- | * POS= POA X POD [1]
| + | |
- | | + | |
- | * Understanding and using this formula helps mgmt., to understand how effective they have been or will be. [1]
| + | |
- | * This helps mgmt., to [1]
| + | |
- | ** Distribute resources [1]
| + | |
- | ** Decide on which areas to search/research. [1]
| + | |
- | ** How to treat a segment. [1]
| + | |
- | ** Suspend a search. [1]
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- | ** Use in court. ( need documentation) [1]
| + | |
- | | + | |
- | {{lesson slide||2 min}}
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- | '''Effects on POD''' [1]
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- | * Searcher prejudice- thoughts of search, subject isn't here!! [1]
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- | * Searcher fatigue [1]
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- | * Boredom [1]
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- | * Weather on visibility/comfort [1]
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- | * Terrain [1]
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- | * Anything that affects your senses [1]
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- | | + | |
- | POD Influences [1]
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- | * Time [1]
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- | * POD desired or accepted [1]
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- | * Time searcher is available [1]
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- | * Size of the segment [1]
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- | * Type and effectiveness of resources [1]
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- | * Search method [1]
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- | | + | |
- | Critical Spacing or Separation [1]
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- | * The distance from one searcher to another on a grid line. [1]
| + | |
- | * Figure that will change with terrain. [1]
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- | | + | |
- | | + | |
- | SAR manager may take these into consideration and adjust the expected/given POD. [1]
| + | |
- | | + | |
- | | + | |
- | {{lesson slide||}}
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- | '''POA''' [1]
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- | * Probability of area. [1]
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- | * Could the subject be in that area. [1]
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- | | + | |
- | {{lesson slide||}}
| + | |
- | '''Example'''
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- | * Koopmans Search
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- | * some areas searched 7 times
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- | | + | |
- | {{lesson slide||}}
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- | * Keeping variables independant
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- | * Novice searcher will estimate POD as 100%
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- | * Estimate portion of areas searched separately
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- | * Which is better? Thorough over long time? Rapid several times? Why?
| + | |
| | | |
| + | ''aids, exercises, activities in italic'' |
| {{lesson slides end}} | | {{lesson slides end}} |
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| == Aids == | | == Aids == |
| {{prompt|What materials are needed or useful in presenting this lesson.}} | | {{prompt|What materials are needed or useful in presenting this lesson.}} |
- | * [[/Restricted|Non-publishable material]]
| |
- | * flip chart or white board
| |
- | * suitable markers
| |
- | * {{link|Image:Members:2013-02-27 19 37 09u-scan.pdf}}
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- | * [[Training/Ideas/Search probability theory]]
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| == Question bank == | | == Question bank == |
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| == Feedback == | | == Feedback == |
| {{prompt|When has this lesson been presented. What was the feedback.}} | | {{prompt|When has this lesson been presented. What was the feedback.}} |
- | * 2004-09-07 Wuth presentation at PCSAR regular meeting
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| | | |
| == License == | | == License == |
| {{prompt|What can others do with this lesson?}} | | {{prompt|What can others do with this lesson?}} |
| | | |
- | Portions copyright © 2003, Jake Waiboer.
| + | Recommended license below. Fill in the year and the author's name(s): |
- | | + | |
- | Portions copyright © 2005, 2013 Brett Wuth.
| + | |
| | | |
| + | Copyright © YEAR, Author. |
| This work is licensed under a | | This work is licensed under a |
| Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 2.5 Canada License. | | Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 2.5 Canada License. |
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| {{prompt|If you need to cite sources, do so here.}} | | {{prompt|If you need to cite sources, do so here.}} |
| | | |
- | [1] some material from Jake Waiboer developed for this section, provided personally. | + | [1] |
- | | + | |
- | [2] SAR Skills Handbook: FOG SAR, Field Operating Guide To Search and Rescue, Richard Smith et al., (c) ERI Canada et al., 2003, first edition, ISBN 0-9734135-0-6, Chapter 13
| + | |
| | | |
| == Notes == | | == Notes == |
| {{prompt|Any additional notes, etc.}} | | {{prompt|Any additional notes, etc.}} |