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| - | {{Lesson plan/Header}}
| + | : 0.75hr |
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| - | == Subject ==
| + | : SAR Fundamentals Manual: Ch.22 "Search Probability Theory" |
| - | {{prompt|What is this lesson plan about?}}
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| - | == Authors ==
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| - | {{prompt|List who wrote this lesson plan.}}
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| - | == Scope ==
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| - | {{prompt|What is included in this lesson, what's not and why.}}
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| - | : SAR Fundamentals Manual: Ch.22 "Search Probability Theory", p.293 | + | |
| | : Basic SAR Skills Manual: | | : Basic SAR Skills Manual: |
| | :* Ch.12 "Search Management Crucials" | | :* Ch.12 "Search Management Crucials" |
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| | : Search Area / Confinement | | : Search Area / Confinement |
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| - | == Prerequisites ==
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| - | {{prompt|What should students already know/have accomplished before the lesson is presented.}}
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| - | == Objectives ==
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| - | At the conclusion of this lesson the participants:
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| - | # will be able to ...
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| - | == Time Plan ==
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| - | Total Time: 45 minutes
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| - | * 2011-03 19:00-19:35: 35 min
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| - | * 2013-02: 25 min
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| - | {{lesson slides start}}
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| - | {{lesson slide|00:00|1 min}}
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| - | Introduce topic title
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| - | Introduce Instructor
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| - | Present Objectives
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| - | {{lesson slide|00:01|1 min}}
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| - | * Describe what a Search Area is
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| - | * Rest of World - ROW
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| - | ** can be just outside search area
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| - | ** can be back home, at bar
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| - | ** can be some other area completely
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| - | {{lesson slide||3 min}}
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| - | '''Methods to establish Search Area''' [2]
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| - | Start with Initial Planning Point (IPP)
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| - | Typically one of two places:
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| - | * Point Last Seen (PLS)
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| - | * Last Known Point (LKP)
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| - | ** e.g. strong belief was there - location of car
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| - | Theoretical Search Area [2]
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| - | * distance subject could have travelled from LKP. [2]
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| - | * statistical search area [2]
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| - | * subjective search area [2]
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| - | ** likely spots [2]
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| - | ** natural barriers [2]
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| - | ** physical or mental limits of subject [2]
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| - | ** physical clues [2]
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| - | ** historical data [2]
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| - | ** gut feeling [2]
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| - | ** deductive reasoning [2]
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| - | {{lesson slide||1 min}}
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| - | '''Confinement''' [2]
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| - | * requires prompt action [2]
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| - | * tactics [2]
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| - | ** vehicle patrols [2]
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| - | ** road blocks [2]
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| - | ** trail blocks [2]
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| - | ** observation posts [2]
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| - | ** string lines [2]
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| - | ** track traps [2]
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| - | {{lesson slide||1 min}}
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| - | '''Attraction''' [2]
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| - | * visual: lights, flares, fires, smoke, balloons [2]
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| - | * sound: horns, PA system, shouting [2]
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| - | * aircraft [2]
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| - | {{lesson slide||5 min}}
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| - | '''Segmentation''' [2]
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| - | * size
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| - | ** searchable area in reasonable time
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| - | * boundaries
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| - | ** challenge of picking boundaries on map
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| - | ** risks of team in adjacent segments leaving a gap
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| - | ** may have to flag
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| - | {{lesson slide||}}
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| - | * POA- probability of area, to find the subject [1]
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| - | * POD- probability of detection, of the subject [1]
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| - | * POS- probability of success, of finding the subject. [1]
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| - | * POS= POA X POD [1]
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| - | * Understanding and using this formula helps mgmt., to understand how effective they have been or will be. [1]
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| - | * This helps mgmt., to [1]
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| - | ** Distribute resources [1]
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| - | ** Decide on which areas to search/research. [1]
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| - | ** How to treat a segment. [1]
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| - | ** Suspend a search. [1]
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| - | ** Use in court. ( need documentation) [1]
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| - | {{lesson slide||2 min}}
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| - | '''Effects on POD''' [1]
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| - | * Searcher prejudice- thoughts of search, subject isn't here!! [1]
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| - | * Searcher fatigue [1]
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| - | * Boredom [1]
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| - | * Weather on visibility/comfort [1]
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| - | * Terrain [1]
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| - | * Anything that affects your senses [1]
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| - | POD Influences [1]
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| - | * Time [1]
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| - | * POD desired or accepted [1]
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| - | * Time searcher is available [1]
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| - | * Size of the segment [1]
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| - | * Type and effectiveness of resources [1]
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| - | * Search method [1]
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| - | Critical Spacing or Separation [1]
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| - | * The distance from one searcher to another on a grid line. [1]
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| - | * Figure that will change with terrain. [1]
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| - | SAR manager may take these into consideration and adjust the expected/given POD. [1]
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| - | {{lesson slide||}}
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| - | '''POA''' [1]
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| - | * Probability of area. [1]
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| - | * Could the subject be in that area. [1]
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| - | {{lesson slide||}}
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| - | '''Example'''
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| - | * Koopmans Search
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| - | * some areas searched 7 times
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| - | {{lesson slide||}}
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| - | * Keeping variables independant
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| - | * Novice searcher will estimate POD as 100%
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| - | * Estimate portion of areas searched separately
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| - | * Which is better? Thorough over long time? Rapid several times? Why?
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| - | {{lesson slides end}}
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| | + | * [[:Image:Search-probability-lesson-plan.odt]] |
| | == Aids == | | == Aids == |
| - | {{prompt|What materials are needed or useful in presenting this lesson.}}
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| - | * [[/Restricted|Non-publishable material]]
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| | * flip chart or white board | | * flip chart or white board |
| | * suitable markers | | * suitable markers |
| - | * {{link|Image:Members:2013-02-27 19 37 09u-scan.pdf}}
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| - | * [[Training/Ideas/Search probability theory]]
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| - | == Question bank ==
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| - | {{prompt|List of questions suitable for an review/exam of this section.}}
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| - | See {{subpage|Question bank}}
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| - | == Frequently Asked Questions ==
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| - | {{prompt|What are some of the questions that students typically ask. Include the answers.}}
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| - | == Feedback ==
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| - | {{prompt|When has this lesson been presented. What was the feedback.}}
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| - | * 2004-09-07 Wuth presentation at PCSAR regular meeting
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| - | == License ==
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| - | {{prompt|What can others do with this lesson?}}
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| - | Portions copyright © 2003, Jake Waiboer.
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| - | Portions copyright © 2005, 2013 Brett Wuth.
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| - | This work is licensed under a
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| - | Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 2.5 Canada License.
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| - | To view a copy of this license, visit
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| - | http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/2.5/ca/
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| - | or send a letter to Creative Commons, 559 Nathan Abbott Way, Stanford, California 94305, USA.
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| - |
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| - | == Reference Material ==
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| - | {{prompt|If you need to cite sources, do so here.}}
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| - | [1] some material from Jake Waiboer developed for this section, provided personally.
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| - | [2] SAR Skills Handbook: FOG SAR, Field Operating Guide To Search and Rescue, Richard Smith et al., (c) ERI Canada et al., 2003, first edition, ISBN 0-9734135-0-6, Chapter 13
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| - | == Notes ==
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| - | {{prompt|Any additional notes, etc.}}
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